Today's Strong Picks
1W - 6L (14.3%)
Sunday, July 5, 2026
15 Total Games
Season Strong Picks
470W - 321L (59.4%)
MLB Games
All GamesImplied win probability from consensus odds & line movement tracking
Last updated:
| # | Matchup | Implied Win % | Line Movement | Moneyline | O/U | AI Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ |
11
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates (82-80)
Bubba Chandler
@
5
WSH
Washington Nationals (77-85)
Cade Cavalli
PIT Won
|
43.4%
56.6%
|
-11
+4
shift
|
+120
-145
|
10.0
Over (16)
|
WSH
99%
Strong
Loss
|
| ✓ |
2
BAL
Baltimore Orioles (79-82)
Kyle Bradish
@
3
CIN
Cincinnati Reds (75-87)
Nick Lodolo
CIN Won
|
51.1%
48.9%
|
+5
-5
shift
|
-115
-105
|
10.0
Under (5)
|
BAL
99%
Strong
Loss
|
| ✓ |
6
MIN
Minnesota Twins (77-85)
Joe Ryan
@
1
NYY
New York Yankees (93-68)
Ryan Weathers
MIN Won
|
44.4%
55.6%
|
-8
+6
shift
|
+115
-140
|
8.0
Under (7)
|
NYY
99%
Strong
Loss
|
| ✓ |
10
NYM
New York Mets (74-88)
Nolan McLean
@
9
ATL
Atlanta Braves (94-68)
Martín Pérez
NYM Won
|
51.7%
48.3%
|
+18
-17
shift
|
-118
-102
|
8.5
Over (19)
|
ATL
99%
Strong
Loss
|
| ✓ |
4
STL
St. Louis Cardinals (77-85)
Matthew Liberatore
@
6
CHC
Chicago Cubs (89-73)
Javier Assad
CHC Won
|
42.6%
57.4%
|
+7
-5
shift
|
+125
-150
|
8.0
Over (10)
|
CHC
99%
Strong
Win
|
| ✓ |
2
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies (88-74)
Aaron Nola
@
5
KC
Kansas City Royals (69-93)
Luinder Avila
KC Won
|
55.6%
44.4%
|
-1
-4
shift
|
-140
+115
|
10.0
Under (7)
|
PHI
99%
Strong
Loss
|
| ✓ |
5
SD
San Diego Padres (91-71)
JP Sears
@
2
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers (100-62)
Emmet Sheehan
SD Won
|
34.2%
65.8%
|
0
-4
shift
|
+180
-220
|
10.0
Under (7)
|
LAD
99%
Strong
Loss
|
| ✓ |
0
TB
Tampa Bay Rays (98-64)
TBA
@
2
HOU
Houston Astros (81-81)
Peter Lambert
HOU Won
|
47.8%
52.2%
|
-232
+232
shift
|
+100
-120
|
9.0
Under (2)
|
TB
88%
Lean
|
| ✓ |
7
CWS
Chicago White Sox (84-78)
Chris Murphy
@
6
CLE
Cleveland Guardians (85-77)
Tanner Bibee
CWS Won
|
44.4%
55.6%
|
+9
-9
shift
|
+115
-140
|
8.5
Over (13)
|
CLE
87%
Lean
|
| ✓ |
7
BOS
Boston Red Sox (87-75)
TBA
@
5
LAA
Los Angeles Angels (62-100)
TBA
BOS Won
|
59.4%
40.6%
|
-1
-3
shift
|
-165
+135
|
8.0
Over (12)
|
BOS
78%
Lean
|
| ✓ |
3
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers (103-59)
Brandon Sproat
@
2
ARI
Arizona Diamondbacks (86-76)
Eduardo Rodriguez
MIL Won
|
52.2%
47.8%
|
-4
+5
shift
|
-120
+100
|
8.5
Under (5)
|
MIL
41%
Toss-Up
|
| ✓ |
6
SF
San Francisco Giants (65-97)
Tyler Mahle
@
7
COL
Colorado Rockies (58-104)
Tanner Gordon
COL Won
|
52.2%
47.8%
|
-4
+6
shift
|
-120
+100
|
13.0
Push (13)
|
SF
37%
Toss-Up
|
| ✓ |
0
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays (79-83)
Trey Yesavage
@
4
SEA
Seattle Mariners (76-86)
Emerson Hancock
SEA Won
|
48.3%
51.7%
|
+13
-211
shift
|
-102
-118
|
7.5
Under (4)
|
SEA
36%
Toss-Up
|
| ✓ |
9
MIA
Miami Marlins (80-82)
Eury Pérez
@
8
Ath
Athletics (64-98)
Gage Jump
MIA Won
|
47.8%
52.2%
|
+4
-6
shift
|
+100
-120
|
10.0
Over (17)
|
Ath
33%
Toss-Up
|
| ✓ |
6
DET
Detroit Tigers (76-86)
Casey Mize
@
3
TEX
Texas Rangers (80-82)
Kumar Rocker
DET Won
|
53.2%
46.8%
|
+207
-9
shift
|
-125
+105
|
7.5
Over (9)
|
DET
30%
Toss-Up
|