Today's Strong Picks
3W - 2L (60%)
Saturday, July 4, 2026
15 Total Games
Season Strong Picks
470W - 321L (59.4%)
MLB Games
All GamesImplied win probability from consensus odds & line movement tracking
Last updated:
| # | Matchup | Implied Win % | Line Movement | Moneyline | O/U | AI Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates (82-80)
Braxton Ashcraft
@
WSH
Washington Nationals (77-85)
Carson Palmquist
|
91.8%
8.2%
|
+908
-2832
shift
|
-3000
+1050
|
9.5
O/U
|
PIT
99%
Strong
|
| ✓ |
11
MIN
Minnesota Twins (77-85)
Zebby Matthews
@
4
NYY
New York Yankees (93-68)
Brendan Beck
MIN Won
|
42.6%
57.4%
|
+14
-13
shift
|
+125
-150
|
10.5
Over (15)
|
NYY
99%
Strong
Loss
|
| ✓ |
3
NYM
New York Mets (74-88)
Nolan McLean
@
14
ATL
Atlanta Braves (94-68)
Martín Pérez
ATL Won
|
39.8%
60.2%
|
-8
+4
shift
|
+140
-170
|
8.0
Over (17)
|
ATL
99%
Strong
Win
|
| ✓ |
3
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers (103-59)
Brandon Sproat
@
4
ARI
Arizona Diamondbacks (86-76)
Eduardo Rodriguez
ARI Won
|
59.1%
40.9%
|
+15
-18
shift
|
-160
+135
|
9.5
Under (7)
|
MIL
99%
Strong
Loss
|
| ✓ |
0
SD
San Diego Padres (91-71)
JP Sears
@
3
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers (100-62)
Emmet Sheehan
LAD Won
|
31.8%
68.2%
|
+5
-10
shift
|
+200
-250
|
8.5
Under (3)
|
LAD
99%
Strong
Win
|
| ✓ |
8
BOS
Boston Red Sox (87-75)
Ranger Suarez
@
1
LAA
Los Angeles Angels (62-100)
Ryan Johnson
BOS Won
|
60.2%
39.8%
|
+6
-12
shift
|
-170
+140
|
8.5
Over (9)
|
BOS
90%
Strong
Win
|
| ✓ |
7
MIA
Miami Marlins (80-82)
Eury Pérez
@
2
Ath
Athletics (64-98)
Gage Jump
MIA Won
|
56%
44%
|
+16
-20
shift
|
-140
+118
|
11.0
Under (9)
|
Ath
83%
Lean
|
| ✓ |
6
SF
San Francisco Giants (65-97)
Tyler Mahle
@
4
COL
Colorado Rockies (58-104)
Tanner Gordon
SF Won
|
56.6%
43.4%
|
+10
-15
shift
|
-145
+120
|
12.0
Under (10)
|
SF
76%
Lean
|
| ✓ |
0
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays (79-83)
Shane Bieber
@
11
SEA
Seattle Mariners (76-86)
Logan Gilbert
SEA Won
|
40.9%
59.1%
|
+2
-1
shift
|
+135
-160
|
7.5
Over (11)
|
SEA
75%
Lean
|
| ✓ |
3
STL
St. Louis Cardinals (77-85)
Matthew Liberatore
@
0
CHC
Chicago Cubs (89-73)
Javier Assad
STL Won
|
40.9%
59.1%
|
+2
-1
shift
|
+135
-160
|
8.0
Under (3)
|
CHC
74%
Lean
|
| ✓ |
6
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies (88-74)
Aaron Nola
@
1
KC
Kansas City Royals (69-93)
Luinder Avila
PHI Won
|
57.8%
42.2%
|
-5
-1
shift
|
-155
+125
|
9.0
Under (7)
|
PHI
70%
Lean
|
| ✓ |
3
CWS
Chicago White Sox (84-78)
Sean Burke
@
1
CLE
Cleveland Guardians (85-77)
Parker Messick
CWS Won
|
43.7%
56.3%
|
-3
-2
shift
|
+118
-145
|
7.5
Under (4)
|
CLE
66%
Lean
|
| ✓ |
8
BAL
Baltimore Orioles (79-82)
Brandon Young
@
5
CIN
Cincinnati Reds (75-87)
Hunter Greene
BAL Won
|
46.3%
53.7%
|
-8
+1
shift
|
+105
-130
|
9.0
Over (13)
|
CIN
59%
Toss-Up
|
| ✓ |
3
DET
Detroit Tigers (76-86)
Jack Flaherty
@
0
TEX
Texas Rangers (80-82)
Cal Quantrill
DET Won
|
53.2%
46.8%
|
+5
-7
shift
|
-125
+105
|
8.5
Under (3)
|
TEX
49%
Toss-Up
|
| ✓ |
8
TB
Tampa Bay Rays (98-64)
Drew Rasmussen
@
10
HOU
Houston Astros (81-81)
Hunter Brown
HOU Won
|
48.9%
51.1%
|
-7
+3
shift
|
-105
-115
|
7.0
Over (18)
|
HOU
39%
Toss-Up
|