Sharp Plays Logo
Betting Intelligence for the Masses
Today's Strong Picks
3W - 2L (60%)
←
Tuesday, May 5, 2026
15 Total Games
→
Season Strong Picks
472W - 322L (59.4%)

MLB Games

All Games

Implied win probability from consensus odds & line movement tracking

Last updated:

# Matchup Implied Win % Line Movement Moneyline O/U AI Pick
✓
1 Ath Athletics (64-98) Luis Severino
@
9 PHI Philadelphia Phillies (88-74) Cristopher Sánchez
PHI Won
36.1%
63.9%
-12
+7
shift
+165
-200
9.0
Over (10)
PHI
99% Strong
Win
✓
2 CIN Cincinnati Reds (75-87) Andrew Abbott
@
3 CHC Chicago Cubs (89-73) Jameson Taillon
CHC Won
39.8%
60.2%
-14
+8
shift
+140
-170
8.0
Under (5)
CHC
99% Strong
Win
✓
1 LAD Los Angeles Dodgers (100-62) Tyler Glasnow
@
2 HOU Houston Astros (81-81) Lance McCullers Jr.
HOU Won
65.8%
34.2%
+8
-15
shift
-220
+180
8.5
Under (3)
LAD
99% Strong
Loss
✓
3 TOR Toronto Blue Jays (79-83) Kevin Gausman
@
4 TB Tampa Bay Rays (98-64) Drew Rasmussen
TB Won
44.4%
55.6%
-24
+217
shift
+115
-140
7.0
Push (7)
TB
97% Strong
Win
✓
9 BAL Baltimore Orioles (79-82) Chris Bassitt
@
7 MIA Miami Marlins (80-82) Sandy Alcantara
BAL Won
43.7%
56.3%
-23
+14
shift
+118
-145
8.5
Over (16)
MIA
92% Strong
Loss
✓
4 TEX Texas Rangers (80-82) Jacob deGrom
@
7 NYY New York Yankees (93-68) Elmer Rodríguez
NYY Won
45.7%
54.3%
-12
+10
shift
+110
-130
9.0
Over (11)
NYY
76% Lean
✓
2 NYM New York Mets (74-88) Freddy Peralta
@
6 COL Colorado Rockies (58-104) Michael Lorenzen
COL Won
59.1%
40.9%
-9
+12
shift
-160
+135
9.5
Under (8)
NYM
64% Lean
✓
0 PIT Pittsburgh Pirates (82-80) Paul Skenes
@
9 ARI Arizona Diamondbacks (86-76) Michael Soroka
ARI Won
44.7%
55.3%
-5
+5
shift
+115
-135
9.0
Push (9)
ARI
60% Lean
✓
3 ATL Atlanta Braves (94-68) Martín Pérez
@
2 SEA Seattle Mariners (76-86) Bryan Woo
ATL Won
45.7%
54.3%
+24
-20
shift
+110
-130
7.5
Under (5)
SEA
48% Toss-Up
✓
10 BOS Boston Red Sox (87-75) Jovani Morán
@
3 DET Detroit Tigers (76-86) Framber Valdez
BOS Won
41.7%
58.3%
+25
-22
shift
+130
-155
8.5
Over (13)
DET
45% Toss-Up
✓
3 CWS Chicago White Sox (84-78) Noah Schultz
@
4 LAA Los Angeles Angels (62-100) Walbert Ureña
LAA Won
50%
50%
+6
-8
shift
-110
-110
9.0
Under (7)
LAA
43% Toss-Up
✓
11 MIN Minnesota Twins (77-85) Taj Bradley
@
3 WSH Washington Nationals (77-85) Cade Cavalli
MIN Won
51.1%
48.9%
+3
-7
shift
-115
-105
9.5
Over (14)
WSH
38% Toss-Up
13
MIL Milwaukee Brewers (103-59) TBA
@
STL St. Louis Cardinals (77-85) TBA
50%
50%
+8
-210
shift
-110
-110
7.5
O/U
STL
37% Toss-Up
✓
10 SD San Diego Padres (91-71) Bradgley Rodriguez
@
5 SF San Francisco Giants (65-97) Adrian Houser
SD Won
45.7%
54.3%
+6
-6
shift
+110
-130
7.5
Over (15)
SF
36% Toss-Up
✓
3 CLE Cleveland Guardians (85-77) Gavin Williams
@
5 KC Kansas City Royals (69-93) Stephen Kolek
KC Won
51.1%
48.9%
-3
+1
shift
-115
-105
7.5
Over (8)
CLE
33% Toss-Up