Today's Strong Picks
5W - 2L (71.4%)
Monday, May 4, 2026
12 Total Games
Season Strong Picks
472W - 322L (59.4%)
MLB Games
All GamesImplied win probability from consensus odds & line movement tracking
Last updated:
| # | Matchup | Implied Win % | Line Movement | Moneyline | O/U | AI Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ |
5
BOS
Boston Red Sox (87-75)
Payton Tolle
@
4
DET
Detroit Tigers (76-86)
Tyler Holton
BOS Won
|
53.2%
46.8%
|
+335
-315
shift
|
-125
+105
|
8.0
Over (9)
|
DET
99%
Strong
Loss
|
| ✓ |
1
BAL
Baltimore Orioles (79-82)
Shane Baz
@
12
NYY
New York Yankees (93-68)
Cam Schlittler
NYY Won
|
34.2%
65.8%
|
-20
+12
shift
|
+180
-220
|
8.5
Over (13)
|
NYY
99%
Strong
Win
|
| ✓ |
4
CIN
Cincinnati Reds (75-87)
Chase Petty
@
5
CHC
Chicago Cubs (89-73)
Edward Cabrera
CHC Won
|
35.3%
64.7%
|
-14
+6
shift
|
+170
-210
|
11.5
Under (9)
|
CHC
99%
Strong
Win
|
| ✓ |
3
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers (103-59)
Chad Patrick
@
6
STL
St. Louis Cardinals (77-85)
Kyle Leahy
STL Won
|
54.3%
45.7%
|
+216
-20
shift
|
-130
+110
|
9.0
Push (9)
|
MIL
99%
Strong
Loss
|
| ✓ |
8
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers (100-62)
Shohei Ohtani
@
3
HOU
Houston Astros (81-81)
Peter Lambert
LAD Won
|
64.7%
35.3%
|
+2
-10
shift
|
-210
+170
|
9.0
Over (11)
|
LAD
99%
Strong
Win
|
| ✓ |
4
NYM
New York Mets (74-88)
Huascar Brazobán
@
2
COL
Colorado Rockies (58-104)
Tomoyuki Sugano
NYM Won
|
55.3%
44.7%
|
-11
+13
shift
|
-135
+115
|
11.0
Under (6)
|
NYM
95%
Strong
Win
|
| ✓ |
1
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies (88-74)
Aaron Nola
@
0
MIA
Miami Marlins (80-82)
Janson Junk
PHI Won
|
50%
50%
|
-210
+8
shift
|
-110
-110
|
8.5
Under (1)
|
PHI
95%
Strong
Win
|
| ✓ |
1
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays (79-83)
Eric Lauer
@
5
TB
Tampa Bay Rays (98-64)
Nick Martinez
TB Won
|
45.8%
54.2%
|
-19
+213
shift
|
+109
-131
|
8.0
Under (6)
|
TB
82%
Lean
|
| ✓ |
2
SD
San Diego Padres (91-71)
Walker Buehler
@
3
SF
San Francisco Giants (65-97)
Logan Webb
SF Won
|
54.7%
45.3%
|
-12
+9
shift
|
-135
+110
|
8.0
Under (5)
|
SD
48%
Toss-Up
|
| ✓ |
4
ATL
Atlanta Braves (94-68)
Bryce Elder
@
5
SEA
Seattle Mariners (76-86)
George Kirby
SEA Won
|
44.4%
55.6%
|
+26
-25
shift
|
+115
-140
|
7.5
Over (9)
|
SEA
45%
Toss-Up
|
| ✓ |
6
CWS
Chicago White Sox (84-78)
Erick Fedde
@
0
LAA
Los Angeles Angels (62-100)
Sam Aldegheri
CWS Won
|
42.6%
57.4%
|
+16
-15
shift
|
+125
-150
|
7.5
Under (6)
|
LAA
43%
Toss-Up
|
| ✓ |
2
CLE
Cleveland Guardians (85-77)
Tanner Bibee
@
6
KC
Kansas City Royals (69-93)
Michael Wacha
KC Won
|
48.3%
51.7%
|
+6
-208
shift
|
-102
-118
|
9.0
Under (8)
|
KC
32%
Toss-Up
|